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Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory Example


WTPA23 PHFO 200244
TCMCP3

HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP102005
0300Z TUE SEP 20 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 143.5W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 143.5W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 143.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.6N 144.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.2N 145.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.7N 145.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.7N 146.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.6N 147.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 23.4N 149.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 26.5N 152.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16N 144W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
FORECASTER MATSUDA
 
 
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