weather.gov 
Pacific ENSO Applications Climate Center 
Home  Site Map  News  Organization 

PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook 

JulyAugustSeptember (JAS) 2014 



*N/A = * Pride data currently unavailable 

Forecast Discussion 

Koror: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Koror. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 39.25 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 39.25 inches and 50.04 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 50.04 inches. Yap: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Yap. There is a 20% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 41.9 inches; a 30% chance that rainfall will be between 41.9 inches and 46.11 inches; and a 50% chance that rainfall will be greater than 46.11 inches. Chuuk: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Chuuk. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 34.86 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 34.86 inches and 44.29 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 44.29 inches. Pohnpei: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Pohnpei. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 40.06 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 40.06 inches and 50.76 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 50.76 inches. Kosrae: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Kosrae. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 41.49 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 41.49 inches and 47.32 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 47.32 inches. Kwajalein: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Kwajalein. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 28.97 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 28.97 inches and 33.09 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 33.09 inches. Majuro: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Majuro.There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 31.17 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 31.17 inches and 38.16 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 38.16 inches. Guam: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Guam. There is a 20% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 37.2 inches; a 30% chance that rainfall will be between 37.2 inches and 44.54 inches; and a 50% chance that rainfall will be greater than 44.54 inches. Saipan: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Saipan. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 29.48 inches; a 30% chance that rainfall will be between 29.48 inches and 35.85 inches; and a 45% chance that rainfall will be greater than 35.85 inches. Pago Pago: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE for Pago Pago. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 15.04 inches; a 40% chance that rainfall will be between 15.04 inches and 23.4 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 23.4 inches. Lihue: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Lihue. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 5.27 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 5.27 inches and 7.79 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 7.79 inches. Honolulu: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Honolulu. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 1.02 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 1.02 inches and 1.67inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 1.67 inches. Kahului: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Kahului. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 0.84 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 0.84 inches and 1.64 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 1.64 inches. Hilo: Rainfall for JulyAugustSeptember 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Hilo. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the JAS season will be less than 25.17 inches; a 35 % chance that rainfall will be between 25.17 inches and 33.44 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 33.44 inches. 

The PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook is an expirimental consenus forecast, produced monthly by the Pacific ENSO Applications Climate (PEAC) Center for 14 stations within Hawaii and the USAPI. Tercile cutoffs for each location and season are based on Pacific Rainfall Climatologies (Climate Prediction Center) 19812010. The PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook for JulyAugustSeptember (JAS) 2014 was made available on 11 July 2014. 

