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PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook 

AprilMayJune (AMJ) 2014 



*N/A = * Pride data currently unavailable 

Forecast Discussion 

Koror: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Koror. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 34.28 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 34.28 inches and 42.1 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 42.1 inches. Yap: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Yap. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 21 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 21 inches and 32.89 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 32.89 inches. Chuuk: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Chuuk. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 32.97 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 32.97 inches and 39.15 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 39.15 inches. Pohnpei: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Pohnpei. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 49.71 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 49.71 inches and 56.96 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 56.96 inches. Kosrae: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Kosrae. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 47.62 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 47.62 inches and 51.87 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 51.87 inches. Kwajalein: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Kwajalein. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 15.41 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 15.41 inches and 26.35 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 26.35 inches. Majuro: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Majuro.There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 25.63 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 25.63 inches and 34.51 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 34.51 inches. Guam: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Guam. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 13.05 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 13.05 inches and 15.95 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 15.95 inches. Saipan: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Saipan. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 8.14 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 8.14 inches and 11.06 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 11.06 inches. Pago Pago: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE for Pago Pago. There is a 35% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 22.42 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 22.42 inches and 33.53 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 33.53 inches. Lihue: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Lihue. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 4.74 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 4.74 inches and 5.97 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 5.97 inches. Honolulu: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Honolulu. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 1.23 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 1.23 inches and 1.77 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 1.77 inches. Kahului: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Kahului. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 1.25 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 1.25 inches and 2.17 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 2.17 inches. Hilo: Rainfall for AprilMayJune 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Hilo. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 21.42 inches; a 35 % chance that rainfall will be between 21.42 inches and 29.01 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 29.01 inches. 

The PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook is an expirimental consenus forecast, produced monthly by the Pacific ENSO Applications Climate (PEAC) Center for 14 stations within Hawaii and the USAPI. Tercile cutoffs for each location and season are based on Pacific Rainfall Climatologies (Climate Prediction Center) 19812010. The PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook for AprilMayJune (AMJ) 2014 was made available on 14 April 2014. 

