Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service Forecast Office   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Pacific ENSO Applications Climate Center
banner piece
  banner piece
Local forecast by
"City, St" or Zip Code

PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook


April-May-June (AMJ) 2014

Model:
Final Outlook
Final Probabilities
Republic of Palau
 

Koror

L 7 ° 22' N,
λ 134° 32' E
Above
Below
Above
Below
Below
Avg.
Below
Above
Avg-above
30:35:35
Federated States of Micronesia
Yap
L 9° 29' N,
λ 138° 05' E
Above
Above
Above
Avg.
Avg-below
Avg.
Above
Above
Avg-above
30:35:35
Chuuk
L 7° 28' N,
λ 151° 51' E
Above
Above
Avg-above
Below
Avg-below
Above
Avg.
Above
Above
25:35:40
Pohnpei
L 6 ° 59' N,
λ 158° 12' E
Above
Above
Avg-above
Avg.
Avg.
Above
Above
Above
Above
25:35:40
Kosrae
L 5 ° 21' N,
λ 162° 57' E
Above
Above
Avg-above
Avg-above
Avg-above
Above
Above
N/A
Above
25:35:40
Republic of the Marshall Islands
Kwajalein
L 8 ° 43' N,
λ 167° 44' E
Above
Above
Above
Avg-above
Avg.
Climatology
Above
Avg-above
Above
25:35:40
Majuro
L 7° 04' N,
λ 171° 17' E
Above
Above
Avg.
Above
Above
Above
Above
Avg-above
Above
25:35:40
Guam and CNMI
Guam
L 13 ° 29' N,
λ 144° 48' E
Above
Above
Avg.
Above
Avg.
Climatology
Above
Above
Above
25:35:40
Saipan
L 15 ° 06' N,
λ 145° 48' E
Above
Above
Avg.
Above
Avg.
Climatology
Above
N/A
Above
25:35:40
American Samoa
Pago Pago
L 14 ° 20' S,
λ 170° 43' E
Below
Below
Avg-above
Avg.
Avg.
Climatology
Above
Above
Avg-below
35:35:30
State of Hawaii
Lihue
L 21 ° 59' N,
λ 159 ° 20' E
Above
Above
Avg.
Avg.
Avg.
Above
Above
N/A
Avg-above
30:35:35
Honolulu
L 21 ° 19' N,
λ 157° 56' W
Above
Above
Avg.
Avg.
Avg.
Above
Above
N/A
Avg-above
30:35:35
Kahului
L 20 ° 54' N,
λ 156° 26' E
Above
Above
Avg.
Avg.
Avg.
Above
Above
N/A
Avg-above
30:35:35
Hilo
L 19 ° 43' N,
λ 155° 03' E
Above
Above
Avg.
Avg.
Avg.
Above
Above
N/A
Avg-above
30:35:35
*N/A = * Pride data currently unavailable

Forecast Discussion

Koror: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Koror. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 34.28 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 34.28 inches and 42.1 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 42.1 inches.

Yap: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Yap. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 21 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 21 inches and 32.89 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 32.89 inches.

Chuuk: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Chuuk. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 32.97 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 32.97 inches and 39.15 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 39.15 inches.

Pohnpei: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Pohnpei. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 49.71 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 49.71 inches and 56.96 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 56.96 inches.

Kosrae: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Kosrae. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 47.62 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 47.62 inches and 51.87 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 51.87 inches.

Kwajalein: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Kwajalein. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 15.41 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 15.41 inches and 26.35 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 26.35 inches.

Majuro: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Majuro.There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 25.63 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 25.63 inches and 34.51 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 34.51 inches.

Guam: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Guam. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 13.05 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 13.05 inches and 15.95 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 15.95 inches.

Saipan: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be ABOVE for Saipan. There is a 25% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 8.14 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 8.14 inches and 11.06 inches; and a 40% chance that rainfall will be greater than 11.06 inches.

Pago Pago: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE for Pago Pago. There is a 35% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 22.42 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 22.42 inches and 33.53 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 33.53 inches.

Lihue: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Lihue. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 4.74 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 4.74 inches and 5.97 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 5.97 inches.

Honolulu: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Honolulu. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 1.23 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 1.23 inches and 1.77 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 1.77 inches.

Kahului: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Kahului. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 1.25 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 1.25 inches and 2.17 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 2.17 inches.

Hilo: Rainfall for April-May-June 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Hilo. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the AMJ season will be less than 21.42 inches; a 35 % chance that rainfall will be between 21.42 inches and 29.01 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 29.01 inches.


The PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook is an expirimental consenus forecast, produced monthly by the Pacific ENSO Applications Climate (PEAC) Center for 14 stations within Hawaii and the USAPI. Tercile cut-offs for each location and season are based on Pacific Rainfall Climatologies (Climate Prediction Center) 1981-2010. The PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook for April-May-June (AMJ) 2014 was made available on 14 April 2014.



Pacific ENSO Applications Climate (PEAC) Center
c/o NOAA NWS - Weather Forecast Office Honolulu
2525 Correa Road, suite 250
Honolulu, HI 96822
(808) 956-2324

Web Master's email: peac@noaa.gov
Page Last Modified: April 15 2014 01:15:36 GMT

Disclaimer
Credits
Glossary

Privacy Policy
About Us
Career Opportunities