weather.gov 
Pacific ENSO Applications Climate Center 
Home  Site Map  News  Organization 

PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook 

FebruaryMarchApril (FMA) 2014 



*N/A = PEAC CCA data currently unavailable for these stations 

Forecast Discussion 

Koror: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE for Koror. There is a 35% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 22.53 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 22.53 inches and 31.23 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 31.23 inches. Yap: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE for Yap. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 14.18 inches; a 40% chance that rainfall will be between 14.18 inches and 19.83 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 19.83 inches. Chuuk: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE for Chuuk. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 25.26 inches; a 40% chance that rainfall will be between 25.26 inches and 31.4 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 31.4 inches. Pohnpei: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE for Pohnpei. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 38.32 inches; a 40% chance that rainfall will be between 38.32 inches and 48.92 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 48.92 inches. Kosrae: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE for Kosrae. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 45.07 inches; a 40% chance that rainfall will be between 45.07 inches and 52.02 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 52.02 inches. Kwajalein: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE for Kwajalein. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 8.63 inches; a 40% chance that rainfall will be between 8.63 inches and 16.52 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 16.52 inches. Majuro: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Majuro.There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 21.03 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 21.03 inches and 28.4 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 28.4 inches. Guam: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE for Guam. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 6.88 inches; a 40% chance that rainfall will be between 6.88 inches and 10.04 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 10.04 inches. Saipan: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE for Saipan. There is a 35% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 6.15 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 6.15 inches and 8.74 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 8.74 inches. Pago Pago: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR ABOVE AVERAGE for Pago Pago. There is a 30% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 32.29 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 32.29 inches and 36.83 inches; and a 35% chance that rainfall will be greater than 36.83 inches. Lihue: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE for Lihue. There is a 35% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 5.78 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 5.78 inches and 9.92 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 9.92 inches. Honolulu: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE for Honolulu. There is a 35% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 1.18 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between1.18 inches and 4.7 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 4.7 inches. Kahului: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE for Kahului. There is a 35% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 3.25 inches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 3.25 inches and 6.41 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 6.41 inches. Hilo: Rainfall for FebruaryMarchApril 2014 is expected to be AVERAGE OR BELOW AVERAGE for Hilo. There is a 35% chance that rainfall during the FMA season will be less than 24.59 iches; a 35% chance that rainfall will be between 24.59 inches and 45.54 inches; and a 30% chance that rainfall will be greater than 45.54 inches. 

The PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook is an expirimental consenus forecast, produced monthly by the Pacific ENSO Applications Climate (PEAC) Center for 14 stations within Hawaii and the USAPI. Tercile cutoffs for each location and season are based on Pacific Rainfall Climatologies (Climate Prediction Center) 19812010. The PEAC Seasonal Rainfall Outlook for FebruaryMarchApril (FMA) 2014 was made available on 15 February 2015. 

