000
FXZS60 NSTU 240140
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
200 PM SST MON NOV 23 2009

.SHORT TERM...
.TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
THE SPCZ AXIS EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD FROM 10S175W TO BEYOND 12S170W.
TRADE-WINDS COVERGING NEAR THE SPCZ ARE PRODUCING CLOUDS AND
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND TSTMS BETWEEN 8S AND 12S FROM 170W TO
175W...THIS AREA INCLUDES SWAINS. THE HANDAR WX SENSOR ON SWAINS
REPORTED 1.63 INCH OF RAINFALL SINCE 10 AM LOCAL TIME THIS
MORNING. WILL UPDATE SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE ZFPPG AND CWFPPG
FOR SWAINS TONIGHT. 

ACROSS THE MAIN SAMOAN ISLAND CHAIN...DRY TRADES ARE KEEPING
THE ISLANDS UNDER MAINLY FAIR WX CONDITIONS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE SAMOAN ISLANDS WILL MAINTAIN
DRY WX DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LATEST MODELS STILL HINTS
AT BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
SAVAII EASTWARD STARTING WEDNESDAY. THE SPCZ AXIS IS EXPECTED
TO DRIFT NEAR THE ISLANDS WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE ARRIVAL OF THIS
WX FEATURE MAY WARRANT ADVISORIES FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND MAKE NECCESSARY UPDATES.
FOR NOW...WILL KEEP THE PREVIOUS FCST THE SAME.

&&
.LONG TERM...
.THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY NOON OF THANKSGIVING
DAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH WILL YIELD TO FAIR
WX AFTER THURSDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...EXPECT DRY WX CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE REMAINING OF THE FCST PERIOD. GENTLE NE WINDS WILL TURN
EAST ON SUNDAY.

&&
.MARINE...
WAVE WATCH MODEL SHOWS COMBINED SEAS NEAR 5 TO 7 FT DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. 

.WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

$$

BAQUI