WTPA25 PHFO 301439
TCMCP5

HURRICANE MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP142016
1500 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* HAWAII COUNTY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
* MAUI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI MOLOKAI AND LANAI
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
* HAWAII COUNTY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
* MAUI COUNTY INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI MOLOKAI AND LANAI
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRANCE
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS TYPICALLY
ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE POSSIBLE FIRST OCCURRANCE OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A HURRICANE WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MADELINE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 148.3W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 148.3W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 147.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.4N 149.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 19.1N 151.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.8N 153.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.5N 155.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.6N 159.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 19.4N 164.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 20.2N 169.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 148.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER POWELL