WTPA45 PHFO 310720
TCDCP5

HURRICANE MADELINE SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP142016
920 PM HST TUE AUG 30 2016
 
Reconnaisance aircraft found that Madeline was weaker than
anticipated, finding the system has weakened to a category one
hurricane, necessitating an update to the intensity forecast. The
track forecast and philosophy presented earlier remains nearly the
same, and the intensity forecast has been modified to account for
current conditions. A full and regular forecast package will be
issued at the normal time at 11 pm HST. 

We would like to remind everyone that hazards associated with
hurricanes can extend well away from the center, and you should
not focus too closely on the exact forecast track, as small changes
can lead to differences in impacts.
   
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  31/0700Z 19.2N 151.0W   80 KT  90 MPH
 12H  31/1200Z 19.1N 151.8W   80 KT  90 MPH
 24H  01/0000Z 18.8N 153.8W   80 KT  90 MPH
 36H  01/1200Z 18.5N 156.0W   70 KT  80 MPH
 48H  02/0000Z 18.3N 158.1W   65 KT  75 MPH
 72H  03/0000Z 18.5N 162.7W   55 KT  65 MPH
 96H  04/0000Z 19.0N 168.4W   50 KT  60 MPH
120H  05/0000Z 19.7N 174.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Birchard