WTPA41 PHFO 150244
TCDCP1

REMNANTS OF PALI DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012016
500 PM HST THU JAN 14 2016
 
DATA FROM THE 2117 UTC ASCAT METOP-B PASS...AS WELL AS FROM LAST
NIGHT/S SCATTEROMETER PASSES AND VARIOUS MICROWAVE OVERPASSES
TODAY...SHOW THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH PALI HAS BECOME
HIGHLY DISRUPTED AND ELONGATED...AND IT IS NO LONGER POSSIBLE TO
DEFINITIVELY LOCATE A CLOSED CENTER. THUS...THE SYSTEM IS BEING
DECLARED A REMNANT AT THIS TIME. THE ASCAT PASS DID SHOW A FEW
BELIEVABLE 25 KT WIND BARBS LOOSELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
PALI AND SO THAT IS BEING USED FOR THE INTENSITY. THE UW-CIMSS SHEAR
ANALYSES INDICATE THAT ABOUT 30 KT OF SHEAR CONTINUES OVER THE AREA.
THE MORE RELIABLE GLOBAL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE PRESSURE PERTURBATION
ASSOCIATED WITH WHAT IS LEFT OF PALI DISSIPATING ON THE EQUATOR...
BUT SOME OF THE GUIDANCE INDICATES THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT PALI
COULD INSTEAD HEAD WESTWARD AND REGENERATE ONCE IT GETS AWAY FROM
THE SHEAR IN A FEW DAYS. THIS SEEMS VERY UNLIKELY...BUT THE
DISTURBED AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. THIS WILL BE THE 
LAST ADVISORY ON PALI UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. 
 

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  15/0300Z  1.7N 173.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  15/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD