WTPA21 PHFO 190848
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062011
0900 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 143.6W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 143.6W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 143.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.8N 145.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.3N 147.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.7N 149.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 151.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.2N 154.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 17.4N 158.8W...DISSIPATED
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 17.5N 163.0W...DISSIPATED
MAX WIND  10 KT...GUSTS  15 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 143.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CRAIG