WTPA32 PHFO 102358 TCPCP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FELICIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP082009 200 PM HST MON AUG 10 2009 ...TROPICAL STORM FELICIA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OAHU AND FOR ALL OF MAUI COUNTY...WHICH INCLUDES THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...KAHOOLAWE... LANAI...AND MOLOKAI. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELICIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.6 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES...EAST-NORTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII AND ABOUT 400 MILES...EAST OF HONOLULU HAWAII. FELICIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FELICIA IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AS EITHER A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...OR POSSIBLY A TROPICAL STORM IF THE EXPECTED WEAKENING DOES NOT OCCUR. IN EITHER CASE...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND OCCUR MOSTLY OVER WATERS NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. A LARGE SWELL GENERATED BY FELICIA IS ALREADY AFFECTING THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THIS SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE STATE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. ALSO...REGARDLESS OF THE INTENSITY OF FELICIA WHEN IT REACHES THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS STILL EXPECTED TO OCCUR AND FLASH FLOODING REMAINS A POSSIBILITY. ...SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST INFORMATION... LOCATION...21.0N 151.6W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM HST. $$ FORECASTER BURKE/KNABB