WTPA32 PHFO 230557
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NEKI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
800 PM HST THU OCT 22 2009

...HURRICANE NEKI CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD FRENCH FRIGATE 
SHOALS...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL 
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.
 
AT 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEKI WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.1 WEST OR ABOUT 
435 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAWAII AND ABOUT 360 MILES SOUTH 
OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS. BASED ON A TRMM PASS AT 0123 UTC...IT 
APPEARS THE 0000 UTC POSITION WAS TOO FAR NORTH. HAVE RE-BESTED THE 
0000 UTC POSITION TO AROUND 21.1 NORTH 166.2 WEST. 
 
NEKI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS 
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL 
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST THEREAFTER. ON THIS TRACK...TROPICAL 
STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING 
AREA WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NEKI IS 
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL 
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 
MILES.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH 
OF NEKI.
 
LARGE SWELLS FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TONIGHT IN 
ADVANCE OF NEKI ACROSS THE ISLANDS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA 
NATIONAL MONUMENT. SEAS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA WILL 
BUILD TO 20 FEET OR GREATER...CREATING SURF OF 20 TO 25 FT.
 
...SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...21.4N 166.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 1100 PM HST.
 
$$
FORECASTER TANABE/BRENCHLEY