WTPA32 PHFO 222359
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NEKI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
200 PM HST THU OCT 22 2009

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE NEKI CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD 
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL 
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.
 
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEKI WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.2 WEST OR ABOUT 
530 MILES WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII AND ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTH OF 
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.
 
NEKI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL TURN 
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST THEREAFTER. ON THIS TRACK...TROPICAL STORM 
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA 
THIS AFTERNOON WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NEKI IS 
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL 
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 180 
MILES.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH 
OF NEKI.
 
LARGE SWELLS FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THIS AFTERNOON 
IN ADVANCE OF NEKI ACROSS THE ISLANDS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA 
NATIONAL MONUMENT. SEAS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA WILL 
BUILD TO 20 FEET OR GREATER THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY...CREATING 
SURF OF 20 TO 25 FT.
  
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...21.5N 166.2W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 500 PM HST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BURKE