WTPA32 PHFO 212359
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NEKI INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
200 PM HST WED OCT 21 2009

...HURRICANE NEKI MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS IN 
THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT FAR WEST OF THE MAIN 
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL 
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. A 
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE 
WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL 
MONUMENT FROM MARO REEF TO LISIANSKI. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 
48 HOURS.
 
AT 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEKI WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.8 WEST OR ABOUT 
610 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII AND ABOUT 375 MILES 
SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.
 
NEKI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A GRADUAL 
TURN TO THE NORTH WILL OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL 
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH WEAKENING 
THEREAFTER. ON THIS TRACK...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
TO BEGIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NEKI IS 
A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL 
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 
MILES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH 
OF NEKI.
 
LARGE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN ADVANCE OF NEKI ACROSS THE 
SMALLER ISLANDS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT 
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND SEAS WILL BUILD TO 15 TO 20 FT ON THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY...CREATING SURF OF 20 TO 25 FT.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...18.3N 166.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB
 
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE 
CENTER AT 500 PM HST.
 
$$
FORECASTER WROE