WTPA32 PHFO 230236
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NEKI ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
500 PM HST THU OCT 22 2009

...HURRICANE NEKI CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD FRENCH FRIGATE 
SHOALS...

THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL 
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.
 
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEKI WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.0 WEST OR ABOUT 
525 MILES WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII AND ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTH OF 
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.
 
NEKI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE 
NORTHEAST THEREAFTER. ON THIS TRACK...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 
LIKELY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA WITH HURRICANE 
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NEKI IS 
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. GRADUAL 
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 
MILES.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH 
OF NEKI.
 
LARGE SWELLS FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THIS AFTERNOON 
AND TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF NEKI ACROSS THE ISLANDS OF THE 
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT. SEAS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE 
WARNING AREA WILL BUILD TO 20 FEET OR GREATER...CREATING SURF OF 
20 TO 25 FT.

...SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...22.1N 166.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 9 DEGREES AT 14 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC 
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE 
ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BURKE