WTPA32 PHFO 220850
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NEKI ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
1100 PM HST WED OCT 21 2009

THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL 
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. A 
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE 
WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA 
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM MARO REEF TO LISIANSKI. A TROPICAL STORM 
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEKI WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.5 WEST OR ABOUT 
565 MILES WEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII AND ABOUT 290 MILES SOUTH OF 
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.
 
NEKI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE 
NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THIS TRACK...TROPICAL 
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE 
WARNING AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED 
THURSDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NEKI IS 
A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE 
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS..WITH 
GRADUAL WEAKENING EXPECTED AFTERWARDS. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 
MILES.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...19.7N 166.5W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC 
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE 
ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.
 
$$
FORECASTER POWELL