WTPA32 PHFO 220248
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE NEKI ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
500 PM HST WED OCT 21 2009

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE NEKI CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD 
FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS FAR WEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL 
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. A 
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE 
WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM MARO REEF TO 
LISIANSKI WITHIN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT HAS BEEN 
CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS 
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA 
WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEKI WAS 
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.7 WEST OR ABOUT 
600 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII AND ABOUT 360 MILES 
SOUTH OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS.
 
NEKI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE 
NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. ON THIS TRACK...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF 
THE WARNING AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS 
THURSDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NEKI IS 
A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME 
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 18 HOURS 
FOLLOWED BY STEADY WEAKENING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES FROM THE 
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 
MILES.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH 
OF NEKI.
 
LARGE SWELLS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN ADVANCE OF NEKI 
ACROSS THE ISLANDS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT 
TONIGHT. SEAS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA WILL BUILD TO 15 
TO 20 FT ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY...CREATING SURF OF 20 TO 
25 FT.
 
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...18.7N 166.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC 
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE 
ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.
 
$$
FORECASTER WROE