WTPA32 PHFO 211729 CCA TCPCP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE NEKI ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032009 500 AM HST WED OCT 21 2009 CORRECTED WATCH AREA A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO LISIANSKI. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AT 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NEKI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.6 WEST OR ABOUT 640 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII AND ABOUT 195 MILES EAST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND. NEKI IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. NEKI IS EXPECTED CONTINUE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS THEN GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NEKI IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO CATEGORY THREE STRENGTH OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. ANYONE NEAR JOHNSTON ISLAND OR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECASTS FOR NEKI. A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE ISSUED FOR PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE ISSUED FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND LATER TODAY. IF NOT...THE WATCH FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND WILL PROBABLY BE CANCELLED. LARGE SWELLS FROM THE SOUTHEAST MAY REACH THE MONUMENT AS EARLY AS THURSDAY. ...SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST INFORMATION... LOCATION...17.0N 166.6W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST. $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON