WTPA22 PHFO 110830
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082009
0900 UTC TUE AUG 11 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OAHU AND FOR ALL OF
MAUI COUNTY...WHICH INCLUDES THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...KAHOOLAWE...
LANAI...AND MOLOKAI. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 153.0W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..190NE  80SE  70SW 190NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 153.0W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 152.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.0N 154.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.1N 156.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.3N 158.3W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.5N 160.2W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 22.2N 163.7W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 23.6N 167.2W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 25.4N 170.7W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 153.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CRAIG