WTPA22 PHFO 101443
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082009
1500 UTC MON AUG 10 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OAHU...THE BIG ISLAND 
OF HAWAII...AND FOR ALL OF MAUI COUNTY...WHICH INCLUDES THE ISLANDS 
OF MAUI...KAHOOLAWE...LANAI...AND MOLOKAI. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH 
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH 
AREA. IF FELICIA DOES NOT WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER 
TODAY...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE 
WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 150.2W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  35SE  35SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..190NE  80SE  70SW 190NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 150.2W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 149.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.3N 151.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE  30SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.3N 153.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.4N 155.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.5N 158.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 21.4N 162.1W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 22.5N 165.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 24.8N 169.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 150.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON