WTPA22 PHFO 092046
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082009
2100 UTC SUN AUG 09 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII...AND FOR ALL OF MAUI COUNTY...WHICH INCLUDES THE ISLANDS OF
MAUI...KAHOOLAWE...LANAI...AND MOLOKAI.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE OF HAWAII...INCLUDING THE
ISLANDS OF OAHU...KAUAI...AND NIIHAU...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF FELICIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 147.1W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  80SE  70SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 147.1W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 146.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.1N 149.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.1N 151.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 21.1N 153.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.2N 156.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 21.5N 160.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 22.5N 164.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 24.0N 168.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 147.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER POWELL/KNABB