WTPA22 PHFO 090256
TCMCP2

HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082009
0300 UTC SUN AUG 09 2009
 
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...AND FOR ALL OF MAUI COUNTY...WHICH
INCLUDES THE ISLANDS OF MAUI...KAHOOLAWE...LANAI...AND MOLOKAI.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE STATE OF HAWAII...INCLUDING THE
ISLANDS OF OAHU...KAUAI...AND NIIHAU...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF FELICIA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
THESE AREAS LATER TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 143.4W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 143.4W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 142.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.4N 145.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.5N 148.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.5N 151.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 20.5N 153.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.5N 159.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 21.0N 164.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 22.0N 170.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 143.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB