WTPA22 PHFO 082049
TCMCP2

HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP082009
2100 UTC SAT AUG 08 2009
 
INTERESTS IN HAWAII SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FELICIA. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 142.1W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 142.1W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 141.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.1N 144.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.1N 146.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  20SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 20.0N 149.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.0N 152.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N 158.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 20.0N 163.6W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 20.5N 169.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 142.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB