WTPA22 PHFO 232052
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
2100 UTC FRI OCT 23 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA
NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO
MARO REEF.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 165.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  35SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT.......180NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 110SE  75SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 165.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 165.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 23.7N 165.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT...160NE  75SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.8N 164.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 25.8N 164.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 27.1N 163.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.6N 161.1W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 36.9N 157.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 165.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD