WTPA22 PHFO 230236
TCMCP2

HURRICANE NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
0300 UTC FRI OCT 23 2009
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 166.0W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 9 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 165SE  85SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 165SE  70SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 166.0W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 166.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.7N 165.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.7N 164.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 27.8N 163.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.9N 161.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 33.9N 158.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 37.9N 155.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 42.3N 151.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 166.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BURKE