WTPA22 PHFO 222045
TCMCP2

HURRICANE NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2009
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 166.3W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 165SE  85SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 165SE  70SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 166.3W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 166.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 21.8N 166.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 23.4N 165.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 25.0N 164.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.0N 163.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N 160.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 35.6N 156.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 40.9N 151.9W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 166.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BURKE