WTPA22 PHFO 221450
TCMCP2

HURRICANE NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2009
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 166.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 165SE  85SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 165SE  70SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 166.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 166.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.7N 165.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 165SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.4N 164.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE  75SW  95NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 24.9N 163.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 26.4N 162.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW  95NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 29.3N 160.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 135SE  90SW  95NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 32.7N 157.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 36.4N 153.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 166.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER POWELL