WTPA22 PHFO 220248
TCMCP2

HURRICANE NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
0300 UTC THU OCT 22 2009
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL
MONUMENT FROM NIHOA ISLAND TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM MARO REEF TO
LISIANSKI WITHIN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA NATIONAL MONUMENT HAS BEEN
CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 166.7W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE  45SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......220NE 160SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 165SE  70SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 166.7W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 166.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.9N 166.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...225NE 165SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.4N 166.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...220NE 160SE  75SW  95NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 23.1N 166.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 24.8N 165.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 140SE  90SW  95NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 27.4N 163.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  55SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 135SE 105SW  95NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 29.9N 161.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 34.0N 158.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 166.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER WROE