WTPA22 PHFO 202058
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
2100 UTC TUE OCT 20 2009
 
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND.  A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WARNING 
MAY BE REQUIRED FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  35SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE  50SE  40SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 164.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 163.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.8N 165.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  55SE  45SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.4N 166.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 95NE  60SE  55SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.6N 167.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.6N 167.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.4N 168.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.9N 169.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 23.9N 171.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 164.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER WROE