WTPA22 PHFO 201445
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
1500 UTC TUE OCT 20 2009
 
A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND.  A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 163.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE  20SE  15SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  35SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE  35SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 163.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 162.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.7N 164.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  55SE  45SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.4N 166.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 95NE  60SE  55SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.8N 167.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.8N 168.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.4N 169.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 100SW 125NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.5N 171.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 22.0N 174.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 163.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON