WTPA22 PHFO 200855
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
0900 UTC TUE OCT 20 2009
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND. A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 162.3W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  45SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE   0SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N 162.3W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 161.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.8N 163.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 65NE  50SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.7N 166.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.3N 167.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 85NE  70SE  55SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.5N 167.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...115NE 115SE  95SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.1N 169.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 115NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 21.5N 170.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 22.0N 173.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N 162.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON