WTPA22 PHFO 200232
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
0300 UTC TUE OCT 20 2009
 
AT 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
JOHNSTON ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 161.0W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 161.0W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 160.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 12.9N 162.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 65NE  50SE  25SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.6N 164.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  55SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 166.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.1N 167.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...115NE 115SE  95SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 168.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 115NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 20.0N 169.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.5N 172.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 161.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA