WTPA22 PHFO 192045
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM NEKI FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032009
2100 UTC MON OCT 19 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 159.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 159.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 159.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 12.0N 161.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 13.7N 163.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  55SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.2N 165.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.3N 166.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...115NE 105SE  85SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.8N 167.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  55SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 115NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 19.2N 169.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 20.6N 172.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 159.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA