WTPA32 PHFO 140855 TCPCP2 BULLETIN HURRICANE FLOSSIE ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007 1100 PM HST MON AUG 13 2007 ...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... ...A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII... AT 1100 PM HST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 153.2 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII AND ABOUT 455 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HONOLULU...OAHU. FLOSSIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FLOSSIE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. THE BIG ISLAND WILL SEE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS... 39 MPH AND HIGHER...DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE FLOSSIE TUESDAY MID-MORNING. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE LIKELY AS HURRICANE FLOSSIE PASSES SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. ANY SHIFT IN THE FORECAST TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH...CLOSER TO THE BIG ISLAND...WILL RESULT IN HIGHER WINDS. THE FORECAST TRACK OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WILL BRING 6 TO 10 FT SURF TO SOUTH FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND TONIGHT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 FT ON TUESDAY. SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES OF THE BIG ISLAND WILL BE 5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT...INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 FEET TUESDAY. HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN OUTER RAINBANDS MAY PRODUCE 10 INCHES OR MORE OF RAINFALL IN KAU DISTRICT ON THE BIG ISLAND THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SMALLER AMOUNTS...5 TO 10 INCHES...MAY FALL ON THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BIG ISLAND THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. REPEATING THE 1100 PM HST POSITION...16.4 N...153.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM HST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST. $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON