WTPA22 PHFO 160230
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007
0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2007
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 159.6W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  25SE  15SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  45SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 159.6W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 159.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.9N 161.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  25SE  15SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.2N 163.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  15SE  10SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.6N 165.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.1N 168.4W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.1N 173.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 20.6N 179.3W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 20.9N 175.1E...DISSIPATED
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 159.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD/CRAIG