WTPA22 PHFO 152030
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007
2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 158.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 158.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 158.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.4N 160.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.8N 162.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.4N 165.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.9N 167.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 19.9N 173.1W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 20.3N 178.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 20.6N 177.0E...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 158.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD/CRAIG