WTPA22 PHFO 150845
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007
0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2007
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII HAS BEEN CANCELLED
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 156.4W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 156.4W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 156.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.9N 157.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  35SE  35SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N 159.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 55NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.1N 161.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.6N 163.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.4N 168.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 21.3N 174.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 22.0N 179.8E...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 156.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON