WTPA22 PHFO 140900
TCMCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007
0930 UTC TUE AUG 14 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 153.2W AT 14/0930Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  30SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT.......135NE  50SE  50SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  90SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 153.2W AT 14/0930Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 152.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.2N 155.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  25SE  25SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE  45SE  45SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.0N 157.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  25SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  40SE  40SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.0N 159.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 55NE  25SE  25SW  55NW.
34 KT... 90NE  35SE  35SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.8N 162.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 166.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  25SE  25SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 22.2N 170.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 23.4N 174.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 153.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON