WTPA22 PHFO 132046
TCMCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007
2100 UTC MON AUG 13 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 150.6W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE  70SE  70SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE  90SE  90SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 150.6W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 150.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.1N 152.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 65NE  50SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 154.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  65SE  65SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.9N 156.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  40SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.6N 158.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  55SE  55SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.1N 163.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.3N 167.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.4N 171.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 150.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER POWELL