WTPA22 PHFO 130244
TCMCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007
0300 UTC MON AUG 13 2007
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 147.0W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 147.0W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 146.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.6N 148.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.6N 151.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.5N 153.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.2N 155.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 70NE  45SE  45SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.7N 158.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 65NE  40SE  40SW  65NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 20.3N 162.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.1N 167.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 147.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD/KODAMA