WTPA22 PHFO 122040
TCMCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007
2100 UTC SUN AUG 12 2007
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 145.8W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 289 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  949 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..110NE  85SE  85SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 145.8W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 145.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.4N 147.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  55SE  55SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.3N 149.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N 151.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 70NE  45SE  45SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 157.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 65NE  40SE  40SW  65NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 161.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.3N 165.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 145.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA/BIRCHARD