WTPA22 PHFO 120244
TCMCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092007
0300 UTC SUN AUG 12 2007
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 142.2W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 55NE  45SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  65SE  65SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 142.2W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 141.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.8N 143.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.4N 146.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 70NE  55SE  55SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.2N 148.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.9N 150.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 65NE  45SE  45SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.4N 154.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 18.6N 158.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 20.2N 161.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 142.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA