WTPA21 PHFO 191430
TCMCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP062007
1500 UTC THU JUL 19 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 144.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 144.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 143.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.1N 146.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.6N 149.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.1N 152.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 155.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.1N 161.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 18.3N 167.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 18.2N 173.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 144.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON