FOPA12 PHFO 161500 PWSCP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007 1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 162.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 174N 1643W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 174N 1643W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12 174N 1643W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 177N 1671W 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 177N 1671W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 177N 1671W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 181N 1699W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 36 181N 1699W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 181N 1699W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 186N 1727W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 186N 1727W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 186N 1727W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 197N 1780W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 72 197N 1780W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 197N 1780W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 202N 1773E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 96 202N 1773E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 202N 1773E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 204N 1719E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 204N 1719E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 204N 1719E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 20 20 15 15 15 5 10 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWNING