FOPA12 PHFO 152030 PWSCP2 TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007 2100 UTC WED AUG 15 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BUOY 51002 34 31 X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 174N 1600W 34 50 8(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) 12 174N 1600W 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 12 174N 1600W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 178N 1625W 34 1 24(25) 4(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) 24 178N 1625W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 178N 1625W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 184N 1652W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 36 184N 1652W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 184N 1652W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 189N 1678W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) 48 189N 1678W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 189N 1678W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 199N 1731W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 72 199N 1731W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 72 199N 1731W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 203N 1780W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 96 203N 1780W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 203N 1780W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 206N 1770E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 206N 1770E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 206N 1770E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 35 30 30 25 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BIRCHARD/CRAIG