FOPA12 PHFO 151445 PWSCP2 TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007 1500 UTC WED AUG 15 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BUOY 51002 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 175N 1599W 34 58 10(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) 12 175N 1599W 50 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 12 175N 1599W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 179N 1624W 34 1 33(34) 5(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 24 179N 1624W 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 24 179N 1624W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 185N 1650W 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 5(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 36 185N 1650W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 185N 1650W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 191N 1675W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) 48 191N 1675W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 191N 1675W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 199N 1724W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 72 199N 1724W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 199N 1724W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 204N 1774W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 96 204N 1774W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 204N 1774W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 206N 1777E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 206N 1777E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 206N 1777E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 40 30 30 25 25 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON