FOPA11 PHFO 222034 PWSCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007 2100 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 163N 1706W 34 12 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 12 163N 1706W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 163N 1706W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 165N 1747W 34 X 14(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 24 165N 1747W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 165N 1747W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 169N 1784W 34 X X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 36 169N 1784W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 169N 1784W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 174N 1786E 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 48 174N 1786E 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 174N 1786E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 185N 1749E 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 185N 1749E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 1749E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 25 25 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER CRAIG