FOPA11 PHFO 221435 PWSCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007 1500 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 166N 1685W 34 13 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 12 166N 1685W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 166N 1685W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 168N 1727W 34 X 14(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 24 168N 1727W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 168N 1727W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 170N 1767W 34 X X( X) 14(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 36 170N 1767W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 170N 1767W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 175N 1796E 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 48 175N 1796E 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 175N 1796E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 186N 1753E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 186N 1753E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 186N 1753E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 25 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON