FOPA11 PHFO 220237 PWSCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007 0300 UTC SUN JUL 22 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 165N 1646W 34 13 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 12 165N 1646W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 165N 1646W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 167N 1683W 34 X 14(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 24 167N 1683W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 167N 1683W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 170N 1721W 34 X X( X) 15(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 36 170N 1721W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 170N 1721W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 175N 1758W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) 48 175N 1758W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 175N 1758W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 190N 1780E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 190N 1780E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 190N 1780E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER R BALLARD