FOPA11 PHFO 211445 PWSCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007 1500 UTC SAT JUL 21 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 161N 1612W 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 12 161N 1612W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 161N 1612W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 162N 1650W 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 162N 1650W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 162N 1650W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 164N 1688W 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 164N 1688W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 164N 1688W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 169N 1726W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 169N 1726W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 169N 1726W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 181N 1794W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 72 181N 1794W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 72 181N 1794W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 197N 1757E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 96 197N 1757E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 96 197N 1757E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 217N 1709E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 120 217N 1709E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 217N 1709E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWNING