FOPA11 PHFO 202105 PWSCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP062007 2100 UTC FRI JUL 20 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION COSME WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BUOY 50002 34 X 12(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 167N 1551W 34 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 12 167N 1551W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 167N 1551W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 170N 1584W 34 X 11(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 24 170N 1584W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 170N 1584W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 172N 1616W 34 X X( X) 11(11) 5(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) 36 172N 1616W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 172N 1616W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 176N 1647W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) X(15) X(15) 48 176N 1647W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 176N 1647W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 182N 1711W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) 72 182N 1711W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 182N 1711W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 194N 1768W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 96 194N 1768W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 194N 1768W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 203N 1783E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 120 203N 1783E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 203N 1783E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER R BALLARD