WTPA23 PHFO 192046
TCMCP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022006
2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 159.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 282 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 159.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N 159.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 10.3N 161.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  5NE   5SE   5SW   5NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 11.1N 164.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  10SE  10SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 11.8N 167.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 12.7N 169.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 65NE  40SE  40SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.6N 172.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 14.1N 175.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 14.3N 177.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 159.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER NASH