WTPA23 PHFO 190243
TCMCP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022006
0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006
 
SECOND TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE YEAR FORMS WELL SOUTH OF HAWAII
AND IS NO THREAT TO LAND.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 157.2W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 157.2W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  9.9N 156.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 10.4N 159.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 10.7N 161.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 11.2N 163.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  55SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 11.9N 165.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  15SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  65SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.7N 168.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  85SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 15.3N 172.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 16.4N 175.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.0N 157.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER NASH